我注意書名覺得應該自己想想像20世紀的識貨人是W. Edwards Deming另 G. E. P. Box和 Tiao院士的書是在英國Essex 大學寫的.....
He
arranged for the printing (1940) of Facsimiles of Two Papers by Bayes
With Commentaries (Deming's commentary concerned Bayes's use of
divergent series; the other was by Bell Labs's E.C. Molina, famous for
early applications of queueing theory in telephony)
.https://deming.org/content/three-careers-w-edwards-deming
YungKuei Kan
He arranged for the printing (1940) of Facsimiles of Two Papers by Bayes With Commentaries (Deming's commentary concerned Bayes's use of divergent series; the other was by Bell Labs's E.C. Molina, famous for early applications of queueing theory in telephony)
.https://deming.org/content/three-careers-w-edwards-deming
YungKuei Kan
覺
得最入味的數學與統計科普讀物：「The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked
the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant
from Two Centuries of Controversy」。把求學時代的最搞不懂的OR與統計理
The Theory that Would Not Die: How
Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines,
& Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
Bayes'
rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our
initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and
improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about
learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.
In
the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon
Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human
obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur
mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its
modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why
respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150
years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises
involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role
in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how
the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to
be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA
de-coding to Homeland Security.
Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.
The Theory That Would Not Die
How Bayes' Rule Cracked the
Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from
Two Centuries of Controversy
-
Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
REVIEWS
PREVIEW
CONTENTS
EXCERPTS
Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem:
by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a
new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement
about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity
run amok.
In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general
readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and
the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an
amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly
its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals
why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150
years—at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises
involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role
in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how
the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to
be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA
de-coding to Homeland Security.
Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.
Sharon Bertsch McGrayne is the author of numerous books, including Nobel Prize Women in Science: Their Lives, Struggles, and Momentous Discoveries and Prometheans in the Lab: Chemistry and the Making of the Modern World. She lives in Seattle.
Instructors: This book is available in paperback. If
you would like to request access to an e-examination copy of this title,
please click here.
The Theory that Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, & Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
Bayes'
rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our
initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and
improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about
learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.
In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.
Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.
In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.
Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.
The Theory That Would Not Die
How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
- Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
| REVIEWS | PREVIEW | CONTENTS | EXCERPTS |
Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok.
In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years—at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information (Alan Turing's role in breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II), and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.
Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.
Sharon Bertsch McGrayne is the author of numerous books, including Nobel Prize Women in Science: Their Lives, Struggles, and Momentous Discoveries and Prometheans in the Lab: Chemistry and the Making of the Modern World. She lives in Seattle.
Instructors: This book is available in paperback. If you would like to request access to an e-examination copy of this title, please click here.
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